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Jurnal Penelitian Dinamika Sosial

ISSN 1411-6383

Vol. 1 / No. 3 / Published : 2000-12

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Original Article :

Analisis pengaruh fundamental ekonomi pada nilai tukar rupiah terhadap usd: tinjauan pada masa krisis ekonomi

Author :

      Abstract :

      The purposes of this research are to identify the influence of current account, official reserves, short term loan, M2 growth and interst rate, and to measure the depth of their influence to the exchange rate of Rupiahs to USD.The data in this research are collected from annual report of Bank Indonesia and the analysis is specified only in crisis period between the third quarter of 1997 to the end of 1999. The analysis technique is Multiple Regression Model, whose equation is Y = a0 + a1x1 + a2x2 + a x3 + a x4 + a5 x5 + u.In the equation model, the exchange rate of Rupiah to USD is the dependent variable and current account, official reserves, short term loan, M2 growth, and interest rate are independent variable.The quantitative analysis recommends that the exchange rate of Rupiah to USD is influenced by the growth of M2, short term loan and interest rate.

      Keyword :

      The purposes of this research are to identify the influence of current account, official reserves, short term loan, M2 growth and interst rate, and to measure the depth of their influence to the exchange rate of Rupiahs to USD.
      The data in this research are collected from annual report of Bank Indonesia and the analysis is specified only in crisis period between the third quarter of 1997 to the end of 1999. The analysis technique is Multiple Regression Model
      , whose equation is Y = a0 + a1x1 + a2x2 + a x3 + a x4 + a5 x5 + u.
      In the equation model
      , the exchange rate of Rupiah to USD is the dependent variable and current account, official reserves, short term loan, M2 growth, and interest rate are independent variable.
      The quantitative analysis recommends that the exchange rate of Rupiah to USD is influenced by the growth of M2
      , short term loan and interest rate,


      References :



           


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