Jurnal Global dan Strategis
ISSN 1907-9729
Vol. 10 / No. 1 / Published : 2016-01
Order : 2, and page :15 - 29
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Original Article :
Four scenarios of malaysia-indonesia migration: from the status quo to the wild card scenarios
Author :
- Suyatno*1
- staf pengajar pada Universitas Kanjuruhan, Malang dan Pascasarjana Hubungan Internasional Universitas Airlangga
Abstract :
In the context of ASEAN, the number of migrants from Indonesia and Malaysia is the largest. Combining the regular and the irregular migrants, the estimates range from 1.8 million to 3 million people. It is incontrovertible that movement of such magnitude has its impacts, probably both positive and negative. This article aims at providing an analysis based on future scenarios. The purpose is not to make predictions but rather to chart possible paths of critical events that would lead to different scenarios which have different implications to the political, economic and socio -cultural realities. Within this analysis, it is hoped that certain taken-for-granted blind-spots, due to conventional assumptions and mainstream paradigms, will be exposed and examined.
Keyword :
Migration, Malaysia, Indonesia, Future, Scenarios,
References :
Anggraeni, D.,(2006) Dreamseekers: Indonesian Women as Domestic Workers in Asia Jakarta : Equinox Publishing and ILO
Garland, Eric,(2007) Future Inc.: How Businesses Can Anticipate and Profit From What’s Next New York : AMACOM
Godet, Michael,(1993) From Anticipation to Action-A Handbook for Strategic Prospective France : UNESCO
Petersen J. L.,(1999) Out of the Blue: How to Anticipate Big Future Surprises? Madison : Lanham
Chin, C.B.N..,(2002) “The "Host‟ State And "Guest‟ Worker In Malaysia: Public Management And Migrant Labour In Times Of Economic Prosperity And Crisis‟ 8(4): 19-40 : Asia Pacific Business Review
Archive Article
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